I should just have said that. Aspirational levels of brevity
Iām worried about the viability of any Govt. The Canada deal would be hugely damaging as a model for the U.K. as it is almost entirely a physical trade agreement. The City needs a services agreement or their business will be decimated in the biblical sense.
You might hope any change of administration would say āwhat a shamblesā and push the pause button to do this properly or abandon it.
Youāre just not being sufficiently patriotic, chap. Itāll all go terribly terribly well.
Weāre just going to get a Norway, surely? Thereās no other approach. Full membership of the SM and CU, although called something else, full compliance with EU regs, no say.
Itāll be packaged up in some fancy language, and weāll be able to revoke it if we like, but we wonāt.
Iām fine with this.
I wouldnāt say Iām fine with it as itās significantly worse than where we are. But itās probably the least worst outcome of the current clusterfuck that we can hope for.
Iām willing to bet that nothing will be sorted out by March 2019. Weāre headed for the mother of all transitional arrangements unless something truly stupid happens
Under the circumstances a Norway deal will be OK. However I wouldnāt bet on that being the end result. I think weāll end up with something worse - the EU have to set a precedent that leaving the block is bad, Norway were never in in the first place. It will take years to sort out.
You do realise this is Brexit MK1 and that several smaller ones will follow as things are re-negotiated. This will run for 20 years.
Youāre barking up the wrong tree if youāre after a patriot here mate. Despite a family history of going over the top when the whistles blow, Iām a fucking traitor when it comes to Brexit.
I donāt think March 2019 seems all that difficult, TBH, as weāll just go over to EEA-type regime until the final deal is agread. Same same. However, given the governmentās current silly position(s) a CETA deal seems the only available post-transition final deal
The government of 2021 however wonāt be the government of today. Whether that government has a mandate to say ādo you know, I think weāve fucked this upā and stick to a full-time EEA deal, or re-enter the Union, God knows.
I was attempting to do sarcasm. Never works out for me.
Precise and concise
I liked that Barnier, when asked what concessions the EU had made, said that they hadnāt insisted that Britain pay the cost of relocating the European Medicines Agency & European Banking Authority back to Amsterdam & Paris. I think he shouldāve insisted on that. Weād undoubtedly have caved in there too.
Brexit so far.
Bloody righty snowflakes whinging
I could probably marry James OāBrien
http://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/james-obriens-response-to-racist-brexit-voter/
One show I played loudly at work in the office last year was when a caller complained that the most local school to where he lived was full, but had a prayer room for the Muslim students. Students which obviously do not deserve to be there more than his children.
After James asked the caller several times which school he was referring to, he was eventually told the name of the school and he had one of his producers call said school. They confirmed there was no prayer room, there never has been a prayer room and lastly, there are no plans for a prayer room to be added to the school.
I reckon if I couldnāt marry him, Iād at least be able to give him a reach around. I have never heard a radio show presenter do anything like that before and it definitely restored a lot of faith in the human race for me.
Essential listening lately
Possibly during a transition period but even if that occurs I very much doubt weāll end up with any sort of full membership as you describe. That depends on free movement of people and jurisdiction of the ECJ. No chance of that with the current crop of politicians and they arenāt showing any sign of trying to manage expectation as to an extended period of time itāll take to extract ourselves
More likely the move to trade talks will revolve around practical matters first like āopen skiesā arrangements and the like.
Iād think itās more likely weāll revert to WT rules in 2019 than keep the status quo. This for a period while they work on some sort of deal for the long term.
Will depend a little on how keen the Euroās really are to keep easy access to Britain, our lot will cut off their noses first (rather like the electorate 500 days agoā¦ you get the politicians you deserve?).
Only light I can see was in the tone of the address by Tusk. Didnāt get hung up over Eire and did sound ready to compromise. To what extent, weāll see
Fuck me, thereās a document written by Civil servants and Diplomats. It says nothing and everything all at the same time. This will take years to play out and can only be resolved as part of wider Trade talks, the type of deal they are seeking would have us own and eat cake.
Cake is always good.